It focuses on the way information informs price, and constructs a framework to explain information generation and the agglomeration process, enabling the reader to make more effective financial decisions. List of Figures and Tables
ix
Acknowledgments
xii
Preface
xiv
Introduction
1(9)
The ``Old'' View of Finance
10(22)
The efficient markets hypothesis: The traditional (albeit incomplete) standard-bearer for information assessment
10(3)
A little more on the link between the theory and the applied
13(4)
Cost, ability and speed: Important information determinants
17(5)
Do empirical studies of the EMH shed any light on the actual speed of information transferal?
22(5)
Is ``Strong EMH'' all there is to the ``Traditional'' view of markets and information?
27(5)
The ``New'' View of Finance
32(41)
``New'' view challenge no. 1: Determinism, complexity theory and the nonlinear dynamics school
33(13)
``New'' view challenge no. 2: Bounded rationality, heterogeneous agents and the Behavioral Finance school
46(9)
``New'' view challenge no. 3: Trading rules, evolutionary games and artificial markets
55(16)
So where does Evolutionary Finance fit-in to the ``new'' view genre?
71(2)
The Mechanics of Modeling Information as an Evolutionary Process
73(45)
Evolutionary information basics: Memetics and the contribution of Richard Dawkins
75(3)
Moving past the elementary: Taking the evolutionary information concept further into the field of finance
78(4)
The building blocks of our evolutionary approach toward information in finance
82(8)
Some consequences of our evolutionary approach toward modeling information
90(13)
How investors interpret Evolutionary Information
103(15)
Putting it Altogether -- An Evolutionary Model of the Marketplace
118(43)
Stage I: Developing an intertemporal optimization model of information production/consumption and solving for general equilibrium conditions
121(10)
Stage II: Linking analyst research output to asset price dynamics
131(12)
Stage III: Highlighting our preferred evolutionary model of the market -- constructing the informational genome of asset prices
143(18)
The Implications of Our Evolutionary Perspective for Distributional Form
161(41)
Foundations for an evolutionary approach toward distributional form
163(17)
Analyst/investor strategies and the ecology of the market
180(5)
Some implications of our results
185(17)
Evolutionary Finance - an Applied Perspective
202(33)
A primer on Evolutionary Algorithms
206(14)
Evolutionary asset selection
220(7)
Evolutionary Portfolio construction
227(2)
Does it work? the results of ten years of out-of-sample backtesting for the investment recommendations from Natural Selection™
229(6)
Future Directions -- The Path Ahead for Evolutionary Finance
235(4)
Future directions for Evolutionary Finance -- the theory
237(1)
Future directions for Evolutionary Finance -- the practice
238(1)
Appendix 1: A Glossary of Investment Terms
239(28)
Appendix 2: An OLG Form Evolutionary Model of the Marketplace
267(11)
An introduction to our OLG framework
268(1)
Equilibrium for the consumer
269(1)
Equilibrium for the producer
269(1)
Factor market equilibrium
270(1)
General equilibrium
270(2)
Introducing money and prices
272(2)
Adding analyst driven expectations
274(4)
Appendix 3: Some Background on Evolutionary Finance™ Ltd
278(2)
References
280(15)
Index
295